when the status quo frustrates.

Iraq isn’t “Arabic for Vietnam.” Would you please stop saying that?

Thursday, June 14th, 2007

I recently read Max Elbaum’s Revolution in the Air, which is an incredibly detailed account of the post-1968 new Communist movement in the U.S. It’s a rich and fascinating book, worth reading even if you don’t identify as a Communist; it’s a key piece of history that tends to be left out in discussions of the 1960s protest movement, which is amazing when you consider that tens of thousands of people belonged to Leninist and Maoist organizations before those groups dwindled into the weird, ineffectual sectarian cliques we see today.

After I read it, the friend who’d loaned it to me asked why there’s not currently that same sort of groundswell of revolutionary fervor. Popular opinion in both the U.S. and Canada seems to largely be against the war on Iraq and the Bush administration. (To a lesser degree, Canadians are generally unhappy with our role in Afghanistan and the Harper government, but we tend to be far more passive about demanding change, as much as we might complain.) We went through the obvious ones: The draft during the Vietnam war spurred otherwise apolitical young people to resistance, the concentration of the corporate media has deeply brainwashed the working class to vote against its own interests, and the left, for its part, has no grassroots base.

The prevailing mythology of the 1960s left is that mass protests stopped the Vietnam war. It isn’t true, though it’s in some ways a useful bedtime story to tell young activists. “Yes,” we say. “You have a voice. You can make a difference.” It’s this desire to see history repeat itself—or rather, a fictionalized version of itself—that has been incredibly destructive to the budding anti-war movement today. The left remembers its own history as a sea of tie-dyed hippies flashing peace signs and apes the form rather than the content. Rather than study the American protest movement as an outgrowth from particular conditions of the time, it becomes the end rather than the means; imitate it, and the war will end. It’s magical thinking, but tempting, as it eliminates the sort of prolonged and difficult political work that Elbaum describes in his book.

Accordingly, we have people running around with t-shirts and placards that read, “Iraq is Arabic for Vietnam” (or the less-popular but no less tiresome “[Star of David = Swastika]“). Problematic, because an equal sign in politics is evidence of sloppy thinking, because it’s an easily debunked statement, and because it skirts the very sort of analysis that the left needs to make in order to be effective. We need to ask ourselves why one unjustified, illegal, and unpopular war is not like the other.

I don’t agree at all with the solution that Matt Taibbi proposes in The American Left’s Silly Victim Complex, which is that we should put away the giant puppets and start acting like responsible citizens, but he hits the nail on the head when it comes to identifying some of the problems:

Anyone who’s ever been to a lefty political meeting knows the deal – the problem is the “spirit of inclusiveness” stretched to the limits of absurdity. The post-sixties dogma that everyone’s viewpoint is legitimate, everyone‘s choice about anything (lifestyle, gender, ethnicity, even class) is valid, that’s now so totally ingrained that at every single meeting, every time some yutz gets up and starts rambling about anything, no matter how ridiculous, no one ever tells him to shut the fuck up. Next thing you know, you’ve got guys on stilts wearing mime makeup and Cat-in-the-Hat striped top-hats leading a half-million people at an anti-war rally. Why is that guy there? Because no one told him that war is a matter of life and death and that he should leave his fucking stilts at home.

The 2007 anti-war movement, as far as I can tell, is a mishmash of single-issue activists, fringe ideologues, 9-11 conspiracy theorists, and college students nostalgic for the “Good Sixties” half of the Good Sixties/Bad Sixties construction. I hate to say that the solution to this is actually, well, prolonged and difficult political work (as Wilde put it, “the trouble with socialism is that it takes up too many evenings”), but it is. It’s about understanding history rather than trying to copy it, and placing the Iraq war within its broader political and economic context. Doing so won’t end the war (an American military defeat will), but it might very well prevent the next one.

But, wait! There’s more! Stop the war now and we’ll include a lovely set of Ginsu knives for every household in America!

Thursday, January 18th, 2007

In war, like in home redecorating or computer upgrading, your initial guess about how much money and time you’ll be spending is always a bit low. Part of the reason it’s important to set a strict budget for yourself is so that you have a baseline against which to judge how insane you are going when you, inevitably, run over.

With that in mind, could you imagine how fucked we’d be if Bush & Co. hadn’t planned for a modest $50 billion war? Because we’re now up to $700 billion in what the Times calls “direct spending,” and it estimates a total eventual expenditure of 1.2 trillion dollars.

And that’s the conservative estimate.

In the days before the war almost five years ago, the Pentagon estimated that it would cost about $50 billion. Democratic staff members in Congress largely agreed. Lawrence Lindsey, a White House economic adviser, was a bit more realistic, predicting that the cost could go as high as $200 billion, but President Bush fired him in part for saying so…

…over the full course of the war, an eventual total of $700 billion in direct spending.

Let’s pause and reflect on the term trillion. A trillion is a 1 with 12 zeros at the end of it:

1, 000, 000, 000, 000. I can’t even deal with that many zeros. I think of it as 10^12.

It’s a million (1,000,000) piles of a million.

If the objects in your pile are dollar bills, great! We’ll need between one and two of these sets of piles to:

-pay for the direct costs of the war
-take care of the vetrans
-replenish our military hardware and readiness (I guess we’re seeing some savings here by not giving the soldiers the proper gear in the first place)
-and other sundry expenses

If that doesn’t piss you off enough, the business section of the New York Times engaged in a little thought experiment: what else could we have done with that kind of cash?

For starters, $1.2 trillion would pay for an unprecedented public health campaign — a doubling of cancer research funding, treatment for every American whose diabetes or heart disease is now going unmanaged and a global immunization campaign to save millions of children’s lives.

Combined, the cost of running those programs for a decade wouldn’t use up even half our money pot. So we could then turn to poverty and education, starting with universal preschool for every 3- and 4-year-old child across the country. The city of New Orleans could also receive a huge increase in reconstruction funds.

But we’re not done yet! Why, we could even buy security, real security, the kind that doesn’t eat our children’s economic futures while growing newer and angrier terrorists!

The final big chunk of the money could go to national security. The recommendations of the 9/11 Commission that have not been put in place — better baggage and cargo screening, stronger measures against nuclear proliferation — could be enacted. Financing for the war in Afghanistan could be increased to beat back the Taliban’s recent gains, and a peacekeeping force could put a stop to the genocide in Darfur.

So for the cost of the Iraq war, we could immunize the world’s children, educate our own, fix New Orleans, make ourselves safer, actually help out Darfur and complete the job that we initially set out to do three years ago in Afghanistan! Remember Afghanistan? That tiny detail? The slightly more justified part of our use of military force in the Middle East? The part of the war people actually signed up to fight? Because that’s where the terrorists were? Back before we made sure they were everywhere?

If that bit doesn’t make your head explode, nothing ever will.

If you’re not depressed enough, then take a break from these cold, hard numbers and look for a more human facet of the story:

In economic terms, you can think of these medical costs as the difference between how productive the soldiers would have been as, say, computer programmers or firefighters and how productive they will be as wounded veterans. In human terms, you can think of soldiers like Jason Poole, a young corporal profiled in The New York Times last year. Before the war, he had planned to be a teacher. After being hit by a roadside bomb in 2004, he spent hundreds of hours learning to walk and talk again, and he now splits his time between a community college and a hospital in Northern California.

Dammit, Appletree, I was having an OK day until I found that link on your blog.

*Bang* goes fact as the hollow men whimper about balance

Wednesday, September 6th, 2006

Good news, friends! ABC’s going to blame Clinton for 9/11.

From the NYT, via TPMI:

Days before its scheduled debut, the first major television miniseries about the Sept. 11 attacks was being criticized on Tuesday as biased and inaccurate by bloggers, terrorism experts and a member of the Sept. 11 commission, whose report makes up much of the film’s source material.

The six-hour miniseries, “The Path to 9/11,” is to be shown on ABC on Sunday and Monday. The network has been advertising the program as a “historic broadcast” that uses the commission’s report on the 2001 attacks as its “primary foundation.”

On Tuesday, several liberal blogs were questioning whether ABC’s version was overly critical of the Clinton administration while letting the Bush administration off easy.

Yes, NYT, of the 3 groups critical of the series, let’s zero in on the bloggers, because they’re not just trying to make the world listen to the voices of the

TERRORISM EXPERTS

and

9/11 COMMISSION

No, bloggers are simply drunk on zee crazy.

The Poor Man Institute adds:

And, as Jonathan Schwartz notes, ABC will be showing the $30 million series without commercials, and even giving it away for free on iTunes – forgoing any opportunity to recoup any of their money. Now, I’m no business major, but this seems like an odd way for a for-profit company to behave, particularly when compared with the similarly-controversial Fahrenheit 911, which ABC’s parent company Disney deemed too “political” to release. Huh.

Disney! If you want to know what George Bush’s ass smells like, just sniff our dick!

(more…)

Israel’s a Carcer troll, Hizbullah’s a Carcer Troll, so is HAMAS and The Economist too

Wednesday, August 23rd, 2006

Now for those who don’t get the reference, a “carcer troll” is troll who acts like a character from Terry Pratchett’s Night Watch, Carcer is a total sociopathic psychopath, but he has the curious habit of, upon being put into a spot he can’t bite or stab or kill his way out of, of producing a little deprecating laugh, smiling, and with of course the insanely honest face that only hardcore psychopaths have, saying “What did I do?”.

This of course wouldn’t be so bad if he didn’t usually say this after having just killed someone, and while he’s still covered head to toe in his victims’ blood.

Now a “carcer troll” is a troll who embodies the spirit of Carcer, the best example of this was that Robert creature who I believe still makes Alas unbearable to comment in, now its MO was quite simple, never swear, never directly insult someone, or break the officially written down ruels of the forum, but do derail every thread, disrupt good discussions and indirectly insult people in a way they can deny later on if they get called on it, and then if anyone calls it on those things, well then the equivalent of “what did I do?” gets whipped out, “I was just asking a question” or “I was just adding an opposing view”, or, for added hilarity, one of his sock puppets appears and notes that a troll can’t disrupt a thread unless other commenters help him.

Which is wonderful really, because it suddenly places all the blame for the trolling, not on the head of the troll who came and intentionally did his best to derail and disrupt the thread, oh no, it’s of course the person who reacted as the troll expected them to.

It is never the fault of the person reacting to someone else’s incitement to act, when they do act, no it’s not the fault of the youth gangs who set cars on fire, it’s the fault of the racist French society that created an underclass with the pent up rage necessary to set Paris alight for a week or so, the same goes for the LA riots, when you set things up so that the only sane reaction to life is to set things on fire, you cannot then complain about things getting set on fire.

So anyway, anyone read The Economist? because it had the words “Nazrallah wins the war” on the cover recently, so I thought it’d be good for a laugh and a glimpse into the brians* of people who think like Kos, you know, people who can ignore the death and destruction created by politics in lieu of focusing on the remarkably abstract world of platonic politics, where actions do have consequences, but they’re icky and therefore ignored.

And boy was I in for some good things, their Middle East and Africa section has two very interesting articles, the first is “divided Lebanon”. (more…)

The Conflict Escalates

Wednesday, August 2nd, 2006

I think it was Hemmingway who first said; “War is hell, and a naked woman standing on a whale.”

Such is the nature of war that escalation was inevitable, but little did I suspect that Hezbollah’s crack CosPlay troops would launch a surprise attack: (more…)