My beloved better half constantly chides me for exiting the popular political narrative during a given discussion. As a made up example: she’ll call bullshit on Obama’s not repealing “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell,” and I’ll jump in with, “having a military is bullshit.” So I’m not much fun when discussing the kinds of tactical political minutiae favored by my intellectual peers–or political events in general, frankly.
Nevertheless, like a horrified bypasser stopping to watch two trains heading at each other at full speed, I Googled “Massachusetts election ‘exit polls.’” Guess what? Nobody’s taking exit polls! Nobody has to convince me that elections are a complete fraud and were even before Diebold and their “buggy” proprietary software guaranteed preselected results. Even in a sham 4th world election, there are exit polls so that everyone knows the results are a fraud when the hated incumbent wins by 99%. Anytime the UN or other multi-national body declares irregularities in an election, it’s due to a discrepancy between exit polls and actual results.
Soooo, playing inside the box, I’m pre-declaring the results of the Massachusetts election to be a fraud–a fraud inside a lie wrapped in a sham, to paraphrase a beloved war criminal. Since the democrat candidate had a gigantic lead (part of the stated reason for no exit polls), I’m going to guess that this one is rigged for the republicans–again, just a guess.
Zogby, who correctly predicted that John Kerry would “win” the 2004 race–if by win one means having the majority of voters cast a ballot for you in the correct electoral combination*–is saying that the dem will win by < 1%. I feel supported in my assertion that this is a republican steal by Zogby’s prediction.
* as opposed to the more favored definition which refers to actually assuming the political title for which one was contending.
Errr, I’m not sure where you’ve been for the last few weeks but most polls have been predicting that the Dems would be the losers of this election all month. For an example, see this 538 post from a few days ago. (538 is a distinctly left-leaning site and if you click around you’ll see posts there that were hopefully questing for means by which Coakley could pull it out, which didn’t happen.)
Citing Zogby is cherrypicking, especially as he’s known to be a slightly below average pollster (even ignoring his online polls, which are terrible.)
Did you allege electoral fraud when Obama unexpectedly won the presidential race in Indiana in 2008? And if not, why not? Because right now, you’re making an accusation with no evidence and it looks like you’re just saying it because the side you didn’t like won, rather than because the side that one wouldn’t expect to win won.
@Thene: Jan. 10 Boston Globe gave the Dem +15%. That’s the stated reason for no exit polls. I concede 538 is a better source, but that’s not the point. If the difference between exit polls and election results are different by a statistically significant margin then there are, by definition, voting irregularities–even in indiana. Not having exit polls at all disallows any evidence of fraud *or* irregularities to be presented, which I regard as an absurd oversight at best. Based on the post, which side do you think I wanted to win? (bzzzzzt. neither, both candidates should be in prison.)